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Weather-Based Pest Risk Mapping Project: Final Report

Published by:
Publication date
Number of Pages
Type of Publication:
Working Papers & Briefs
Focus Region:
North America
Focus Topic:
Climate / Weather / Environment
Health & Diseases
Type of Risk:
Weather & Climate related
Biological & environmental
Type of Risk Managment Option:
Risk reduction/mitigation
Edited By Roger Magarey, Dan Borchert, Glenn Fowler

The NCSU/APHIS Plant Pest Forecast System (NAPPFAST) is an internet tool for plant pest modeling using georeferenced climatological weather data. The system is the product of a joint venture between the Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS), North Carolina State University (NCSU) and the information technology company ZedX, Inc. The NAPPFAST system was initiated in 2002 based on a ‘fill-in-the-blanks’ modeling concept developed by Dr. Jack Bailey. The NAPPFAST System is designed to support the predictive pest mapping needs of the Cooperative Agricultural Pest Survey (CAPS) program and the risk assessment activities of the Plant Epidemiology and Risk Assessment Laboratory (PERAL) and is funded by Emergency and Domestic Programs (EDP). NAPPFAST uses “fill in the blank” templates to simplify modeling and mapping of biological events such as the phenological development of insects and the infection periods of plant pathogens. NAPPFAST additionally uses a multi-purpose modeling tool that contains general equations that can be linked to global weather and climate variables.

The following 2009 annual report for the continuing project ‘Weather-based Mapping of Plant Pests’ (2003-2009), will detail the improvements and upgrades to the NAPPFAST system and related web-tools.