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Climate Change in CCAFS Regions: Recent Trends, Current Projections, Crop-Climate Suitability, and Prospects for Improved Climate Model Information

Washington, R.; Hawcroft, M.; Pearce, H.; New, M.; Rahiz, M.; Karmacharya, J.

This report investigates the climate of three target regions of the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS). The report assesses the implications of climate change for agriculture, with a particular focus on those aspects of climate change that will have greatest impact on the crops currently grown in each region. The study investigated the ability of General Circulation Models (GCMs) to reproduce already observed climates, to establish the reliability of future climate projections, as well as projections of how associated crops might grow under future conditions.

The report is split into several parts: Executive Summary; Part 1, West Africa; Part 2, East Africa; Part 3, The Indo-Gangetic Plains; Part 4, Progress in Climate Science Modelling: A Look Forward.