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Climate Change: Impact on Agriculture and Costs of Adaptation

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Publication date
21/10/2009
Number of Pages
30
Language:
English
Type of Publication:
Studies
Focus Region:
Global
Focus Topic:
Institutions / Organizations
Market / Trade
Type of Risk:
Market-related
Policy & institutional
Type of Risk Managment Option:
Risk assessment
Risk coping
Commodity:
Other
Author
Gerald C. Nelson, Mark W. Rosegrant, Jawoo Koo, Richard Robertson, Timothy Sulser, Tingju Zhu, Claudia Ringler, Siwa Msangi, Amanda Palazzo, Miroslav Batka, Marilia Magalhaes, Rowena Valmonte-Santos, Mandy Ewing, and David Lee
Organization
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

Agriculture is extremely vulnerable to climate change and the research underlying this report provides detailed estimates on the impacts of climate change on agricultural production, consumption, prices, and trade, and also estimates the costs of adaptation. It uses a global agricultural supply-and-demand projection model (IMPACT 2009) linked to a biophysical crop model (DSSAT) of the impact of climate change on five important crops: rice, wheat, maize, soybeans, and groundnuts (see box). The report assesses climate-change effects on food security and human well-being using two indicators: per capita calorie consumption and child malnutrition numbers and concludes that climate change will negatively affect human well-being.