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DRAFT: Index Based Compensation for Weather Risk in the Italian Agriculture. A Feasibility Study Based on Actual Historic Data

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Publication date
06/07/2007
Number of Pages
19
Language:
English
Type of Publication:
Studies
Focus Region:
Global
Focus Topic:
Climate / Weather / Environment
Type of Risk:
Weather & Climate related
Type of Risk Managment Option:
Risk transfer
Commodity:
Crops
Livestock
Author
Carlo Cafiero, Federica Angelucci, Fabian Capitanio, Michelle Vollaro
Organization
Department of Agricultural Economics and Policy, University of Naples

The paper explores the feasibility of the use of weather index based derivatives for farms’ risk management in an Italian province. Based on a combination of detailed local weather data and of data on farms’ yields, various possible weather indexes are found that are highly correlated with yields of the major crops in the area. Simulations show that hedging through such index based derivatives can be effective in protecting the stability of farms’ incomes, at a cost that is likely to be much lower than that of the current system of subsidized crop insurance and expost compensation.